The main force of Brent crude oil futures fell by 1.01% in the day to 72.80 US dollars/barrel.Xue Hongyan, Vice President of Xingtu Financial Research Institute: Stabilizing the stock market means stabilizing expectations and confidence. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Why is the central government proposing to "stabilize the stock market" at this time node? What are the considerations behind it? Xue Hongyan, vice president of Xingtu Finance Research Institute, pointed out that the stock market is a barometer of the economy, and its ups and downs reflect the social expectation of the economic development prospects. In this sense, stabilizing the stock market will help to better form a positive and optimistic situation for development. Since the "924" policy shift, the A-share market has ushered in a round of surge, and the bull market has been widely discussed at the social level, which has effectively boosted market confidence. Therefore, in a sense, stabilizing the stock market means stabilizing expectations and confidence. The meeting proposed to deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market. What is the internal relationship between this and "stabilizing the stock market", and how should the next step of "deepening the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market" be exerted? Xue Hongyan said that the value of the capital market is mainly reflected in two aspects: one is to serve the high-quality development of the real economy with financing function, and the other is to let investors share more fruits of economic development with investment function, which are mutually causal and indispensable. Xue Hongyan believes that this round of capital market reform, emphasizing on vigorously guiding medium and long-term funds to enter the market, opening up the blocking points of social security, insurance, wealth management and other funds to enter the market, and emphasizing the protection of the interests of small and medium-sized investors, will help fundamentally improve the capital supply and demand structure and micro-ecology, and lay a solid foundation for the long-term cattle market. (The country is a through train)Will the defendant in the "Capitol Hill riots" be pardoned? Trump gave a timetable. US President-elect Trump said in an interview on the same day that he intends to pardon the "most" thugs accused or convicted in the "Capitol Hill riots" on January 6, 2021. This will be one of the first official actions during his second term as president. Trump said that the pardon will "start from the first hour, maybe the first nine minutes."
Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)The Dow Jones Industrial Average was last reported at 44,200.59, up 0.12% in the day.Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association: Boosting consumption ranks first in the key work next year. Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association and founding president of the National Research Institute of New Economics, told reporters that boosting consumption is the top priority of economic work next year, ranking first in the key work next year, which is based on the new changes and new demands of the current economic situation. Among the specific measures to boost consumption, the highlights include the implementation of the special action to boost consumption, the implementation of the "two new" policy, and greater support for the "two new" projects. These measures are aimed at promoting consumption growth in an all-round way by optimizing the consumption environment, increasing consumption supply and improving consumption quality. (SSE)
Dong Ximiao, Principal Investigator of Zhaolian: Support small and medium-sized banks to better establish a long-term mechanism for capital replenishment. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of systemic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian, believes that more resolute and effective measures should be taken to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, speed up the reform of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and firmly hold the bottom line of no systemic risks. (SSE)Xue Hongyan, Vice President of Xingtu Financial Research Institute: Stabilizing the stock market means stabilizing expectations and confidence. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Why is the central government proposing to "stabilize the stock market" at this time node? What are the considerations behind it? Xue Hongyan, vice president of Xingtu Finance Research Institute, pointed out that the stock market is a barometer of the economy, and its ups and downs reflect the social expectation of the economic development prospects. In this sense, stabilizing the stock market will help to better form a positive and optimistic situation for development. Since the "924" policy shift, the A-share market has ushered in a round of surge, and the bull market has been widely discussed at the social level, which has effectively boosted market confidence. Therefore, in a sense, stabilizing the stock market means stabilizing expectations and confidence. The meeting proposed to deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market. What is the internal relationship between this and "stabilizing the stock market", and how should the next step of "deepening the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market" be exerted? Xue Hongyan said that the value of the capital market is mainly reflected in two aspects: one is to serve the high-quality development of the real economy with financing function, and the other is to let investors share more fruits of economic development with investment function, which are mutually causal and indispensable. Xue Hongyan believes that this round of capital market reform, emphasizing on vigorously guiding medium and long-term funds to enter the market, opening up the blocking points of social security, insurance, wealth management and other funds to enter the market, and emphasizing the protection of the interests of small and medium-sized investors, will help fundamentally improve the capital supply and demand structure and micro-ecology, and lay a solid foundation for the long-term cattle market. (The country is a through train)Market News: Ibrahim Karin, Director of Turkish Intelligence Agency, has arrived in the Syrian capital.